yt notes

Sep 23, 2013
Severe Tropical Storm Pabuk continues to push north through the Ogasawara islands of Japan today bringing sustained winds near 90kts and waves up 7 meters high according to the Japan Meteorological Agency. Chichi

GFS Thursday morning Outlook
GFS Thursday morning Outlook
Jima in the Ogasawara islands saw a max wind gust of 103kph on Sunday as the severe Tropical Storm pushed over head. These islands are built for typhoons and little damage is expected as Pabuk pushes over head. Through the next 48hrs Pabuk will come increasingly close to the Japan coastlines just south west of the Kanto region including Tokyo. Breezy conditions with winds up 30kts sustained (55kph) could be seen along the Chiba coastline but much of the Tokyo Metro area will see winds much less than that throughout the day on Thursday as the storm makes a hard right and turn towards the north under the influences of a mid-lattitude trough

Subic Radar Monday Afternoon
Subic Radar Monday Afternoon
moving out of the Sea of Japan. The storm is forecasted to peak as a weak Typhoon and its main impact on Japan (Minus the Izu and Ogasawara Islands) will be the high waves up to 5-7 meters high along the coastlines as the storm pushes north.

Far reaching indirect effects of Pabuk will be felt and already have been as far south as the Metro Manila area. In Zambales province 19 people were killed and two are still missing in landslides following torrential rains over the weekend. In Subic a landslide also claimed five lives on Sunday. Across the Metro Manila area people are wading through waist deep water in some areas in the second worst flooding for the city in 2013. One month ago Manila and surrounding areas were drenched with torrential rainfall also enhanced by a Tropoical Cyclone towards to the North West of the Country.

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